The Iron Curtain was lifted about 20 years ago. If you are old enough to remember it at all, do you remember how unexpected, sudden, and easy it seemed? It didn't seem real. Why hadn't the possibility of Communism suddenly unraveling been predicted by the Media, presidential candidates, foreign policy experts, or learned professors?
Things are happening fast in the greater Middle East these days. Is it crazy to expect something really big to happen, despite the rather modest events so far? Remember how the protests in the Gdansk Poland shipyard started off modestly around 1981?
I don't think anyone should get carried away and expect Islamic countries in that part of the world to suddenly become "normal." People in the West might start reading wildly hopeful reports about no-more-torture, democracy, women's rights, legalized wine in restaurants, and scientifically-designed playgrounds for children, but recall that most revolutions end up under the thumb of some faction or megalomaniac who is lurking in the wings at the beginning of the revolution. There are few powerful institutions in repressive dictatorships -- other than the Army or Islamists -- who can move into the power vacuum in the aftermath of a revolution.
When the Berlin Wall came down about 20 years ago, the most frightened group in America was the military-industrial complex. (They needn't have worried.) Ironically they should have been feeling triumphant and taking a bow. Today the nation of Israel has the most to fear from real democracy breaking out in the Islamic greater Middle East. Also, pickup truck and RV drivers should expect more resource nationalism there.